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07/09/2010 - Joliet, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyle Busch had the dominant car, but needed a little bit of luck at the end to win Friday's Dollar General 300 Nationwide Series race at Chicagoland Speedway.
Despite leading a race-high 110 laps, Busch had to overcome a penalty for speeding on pit road early in the 300-mile race. Busch ran eighth after his penalty, but reclaimed the lead shortly after a restart on lap 81.
Joey Logano passed his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate and took the lead for the first time just after a restart with 53 laps remaining.
Trevor Bayne's late-race accident in the closing laps setup a green-white- checkered finish. Busch held the third spot for the restart, but quickly grabbed second when points leader Brad Keselowski ran out of fuel. Busch then chased down Logano and made the winning pass with less than two laps to go.
"I knew I couldn't spin my tires, and I knew I couldn't let him force me too high, because it was real dirty, and that's how I lost the lead to Joey earlier the first time," Busch said.
Just after Busch took the white flag for the final lap, a six-car wreck occurred on the frontstretch, with Busch winning the race under caution.
"We didn't have the track position when it mattered, and the car got really tight on us," Busch said. "[The team] never gave up. They knew I had it in me. I didn't think I had it in me."
Busch captured his seventh victory of the season and the 37th of his Nationwide career, which moved him into sole possession of second on the series' all-time race winners list. He surpassed Kevin Harvick, who started on the pole and finished seventh in this race.
"To win as many as we've won and be successful as JGR has been, it's fun every week," he said. "It's always cool to come out here and put on a good show."
Busch also won at Chicagoland in 2008. He joins Harvick as the only repeat race winners here.
Logano won last year's race at Chicagoland, but came up short on his bid for a second consecutive victory at the one-and-a-half-mile track.
"Kyle did a good job," Logano said. "He did what he was supposed to do. He drove me into the turn and got me loose. They beat me. I'm embarrassed more than anything else."
Rookie Brian Scott finished a career-best third, with David Reutimann and Jason Leffler rounding out the top-five.
While Keselowski wound up 21st, Carl Edwards finished sixth and trimmed 50 points from Keselowski's lead. Keselowski now holds a 227-point advantage over Edwards.
Danica Patrick, making her fifth Nationwide start, finished two laps behind in 24th.
"I definitely learned a lot," Patrick said. "It was really nice to run a clean race with no accidents."
Patrick has competed in five IndyCar races at Chicagoland, but this was her first in a stock car event here.
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The reigning World Series champions
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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