Bayern Munich switches focus to Leverkusen

Soccer Betting Lines

04/08/2010 - Leverkusen, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bayern Munich lost to Manchester United in the Champions League on Wednesday, but former legend Franz Beckenbauer said it was "one of the nicest defeats in the history of Bayern."

Bayern lost to United 3-2 in the second leg of their Champions League match at Old Trafford, but scored the final two goals to level the series on aggregate 4-4 and advanced on away goals.

The German club is in the Champions League semifinals for the first time since 2001, sits atop the Bundesliga with five matches remaining and advanced to the Pokal Cup final, but "we've won nothing yet," captain Mark van Bommel said.

Bayern visits Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday for the third game of a crucial run on the road. Bayern won at Schalke last weekend, 2-1, to snap a two-game skid, then earned the result it needed in England.

A win at BayArena this weekend would send Leverkusen nine points off the pace, and leave Bayern ahead of Schalke regardless of its result against Hannover.

"All we're thinking about now is Leverkusen, we have to focus completely on them. It'll be an even more difficult game than the visit to Schalke, and we can't afford any more slip-ups in the league," Van Bommel said.

Bayern dropped back-to-back Bundesliga games after leading, losing 2-1 to both Eintracht and Stuttgart, to allow Schalke to move into the top spot before the match last week in Gelsenkirchen.

Franck Ribery and Thomas Muller scored just one minute apart midway through the first half, and Bayern held on after Hamit Altintop was sent off late in the opening half as the Munich side regained the league lead.

"It's our own fault that we're only a point clear at the top, and not a couple more. We want to win the league, which means we have to win in Leverkusen to keep Schalke behind us," said Van Bommel, who will miss the first leg of the Champions League semifinals against Lyon through suspension.

Bayern has featured a balanced offense, with Arjen Robben - who scored a great volley for the series-winning goal against United - and Mario Gomez both on 10 goals. Muller and Olic each have eight, while Ribery has four in five starts.

Leverkusen features one of the top scorers in the league in Stefan Kiessling, who is tied with Schalke's Kevin Kuranyi for second place with 18 goals. Eren Derdiyok is second on the club with 12 goals.

Leverkusen, which enters the week six points back of Bayern, opened the season on a 24-game unbeaten streak but has slipped from the top spot since losing to Nurnberg in early March.

Bayer has dropped four of its last five and now holds just a one-point lead on Borussia Dortmund for third place and the last Champions League berth.

Jupp Heynckes, who led Bayern over the final five games of last season, needs to get his new club back on track over the final five weeks of this season to secure a spot in Europe's top club event.

On Friday, Monchengladbach hosts Eintracht to open the weekend's matches. Also Saturday, Hannover hosts Schalke, Hoffenheim hosts Koln, Mainz hosts Borussia Dortmund, Hertha Berlin hosts Stuttgart, and Werder Bremen hosts Freiburg. On Sunday, Bochum hosts Hamburg and Nurnberg hosts Wolfsburg.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.